Quick Revision
Compressed revision cards for all three units. Use these after you already understand the concepts β for the night before, not instead of the unit pages.
UNIT 01 β Nature & Scope of Macroeconomics
Core idea: Macroeconomics studies the behaviour of the economic system in totality β a study of aggregates (total employment, national income, general price level).
- Ackley: macro = aggregate output, employment, national income, general price level. Micro = division of output, allocation of resources, relative prices.
- Origin: Great Depression 1929β33 (US unemployment β 25% of labour force). Classical Say's Law: supply creates its own demand. Keynes (1936) refuted it β Keynesian Revolution.
- Six issues: unemployment Β· recession & national income Β· inflation Β· business cycles Β· stagflation Β· economic growth. (+ balance of payments & exchange rate.)
- Paradoxes: paradox of thrift; wage-employment paradox; both are cases of the fallacy of composition. Boulding's forest-and-trees analogy.
- Role of government (3 levers): Fiscal (taxes & spending) Β· Monetary (money supply, credit, interest) Β· Supply-side (stimulate output, cure stagflation).
- Business decisions: business environment = GDP trends, aggregate demand, saving/investment, price level, employment, international factors, government policy.
UNIT 02 β Circular Flow of Income
Core idea: Money flows in a circle between households and firms, opposite in direction to the real flow of goods and resources.
- Leakages: Saving, Taxes, Imports. Injections: Investment, Government expenditure, Exports.
- Two-sector constancy condition: planned S = planned I. Classicals said interest rate equalises them; Keynes denied it (savers β investors).
- Planned S and I can differ (cause of fluctuations); actual S β‘ actual I always (unsold output = inventory investment).
- G > T β budget deficit β government borrows β I < S β crowding out of private investment.
- National saving S = private saving (YβTβC) + public saving (TβG).
- X = M β balance of trade; X > M β trade surplus; M > X β trade deficit.
UNIT 02 β National Income
Core idea: National product = national income = national expenditure (Hicks). Three views of the same total.
- Three methods: Value Added (output) Β· Income Β· Expenditure.
- Value-added chain: Value of output (= Sales + Ξ Stocks) β GVAMP (β intermediate consumption) β NVAMP (β depreciation) β NVAFC (β net indirect taxes).
- Only final goods counted β avoids double counting. Second-hand sales excluded, but brokerage on them included.
- Include imputed rent of self-occupied houses; exclude services of housewives.
- NEW (Net Economic Welfare): ADD leisure + non-marketed services; DEDUCT pollution + "regrettable costs" (police, law courts, defence).
UNIT 02 β Consumption, Saving & Investment
- Keynes' law: as income rises consumption rises, but less than income.
- In the linear Keynesian function: MPC constant, APC falls as Y rises β therefore MPC < APC always.
- As APC falls, APS rises with income.
- Diagram: 45Β° line OZ. Below break-even income, C > Y β dissaving. At OYβ, C = Y. Beyond, the widening gap = saving.
- MPC = 0 β horizontal C curve; MPC = 1 β C curve coincides with 45Β° line. Neither is realistic.
- Investment depends on rate of interest + marginal efficiency of capital (MEC); inverse relation with r.
UNIT 02 β AD-AS and IS-LM
- AD components: C + I + G + NX. AD slopes down because of three effects: wealth (real balance) Β· interest rate Β· net exports.
- AS shapes: Classical = vertical at full employment Β· Keynes = horizontal then vertical Β· SAS = upward-sloping (sticky wages) Β· LAS = vertical at potential GDP.
- With upward-sloping SAS, the multiplier effect on real GDP is smaller than with a fixed price level. Steeper SAS β bigger price rise, smaller multiplier.
- IS = goods market, slopes down (r β β I β β Y β). Shifts right with βG, βautonomous I, βT.
- LM = money market, slopes up (Y β β transactions demand β β r β). Md = L(Y, r). Shifts right with β real money supply.
- Intersection determines Y and r simultaneously. Model due to Hicks (also Hansen, Lerner, Johnson).
- Fiscal expansion β IS right β Y β and r β β partial crowding out. Monetary expansion β LM right β r β, Y β.
- LM ranges: horizontal Keynesian/liquidity-trap range (monetary policy ineffective, fiscal fully effective) Β· intermediate Β· vertical classical range (monetary effective, fiscal crowded out).
UNIT 03 β Business Cycle
Core idea: Alternating periods of expansion and contraction around the long-run growth trend. Recurrent, but not perfectly regular (2 to 10β12 years).
- 1. Expansion / Prosperity β output & employment rise to full employment; only frictional & structural unemployment; potential β actual GNP gap = zero; prices rise.
- 2. Peak β upper turning point. Monetarists: contraction of bank credit. Keynes: collapse of marginal efficiency of capital.
- 3. Contraction / Depression β GNP & employment fall, involuntary unemployment, prices fall, rate of interest falls, large excess capacity. Capital & durable goods industries hit hardest.
- 4. Trough & Revival β lowest activity; capital depreciates without replacement; new technology + credit expansion trigger revival. Recovery = turning point from depression into expansion.
- Keynes: volatile private investment via marginal efficiency of capital.
- Multiplier Γ Accelerator interaction. Multiplier: ΞI β magnified ΞY. Accelerator: ΞY β induced ΞI.
- Monetarists (Friedman): changes in money supply; the Great Depression was caused by tight money policy β a failure of government, not the market.
UNIT 03 β Fiscal & Monetary Policy
Goals of macro policy: (1) economic stability at high output & employment (2) price stability (3) economic growth.
- Recession β expansionary β deficit budget (βG and/or βT). Inflation β contractionary β surplus budget (βG and/or βT).
- βG works directly (incomes of suppliers/workers) and indirectly via the multiplier. Size of required increase depends on the GNP gap and the multiplier (which depends on MPC).
- Automatic / built-in stabilisers (non-discretionary): progressive personal income taxes Β· corporate income taxes Β· transfer payments (unemployment compensation, welfare) Β· stable corporate dividend policy.
- Limitation: automatic stabilisers reduced US income fluctuations by only about one-third β discretionary policy still needed.
- Crowding out: deficit β borrowing β β interest rate β β private investment β smaller net effect.
- Expansionary (easy money) to cure recession: β buy securities in open market β‘ lower bank rate β’ lower CRR (and SLR).
- Tight money to control inflation: raise interest rate, reduce credit, raise CRR, sell government securities. Plus selective credit controls.
- CRR = cash reserves with central bank. SLR = specified liquid assets (e.g. govt securities).
- Keynes' scepticism: in depression money demand is highly interest-elastic (liquidity trap) and investment demand is not much interest-elastic β monetary policy weak, so he favoured fiscal policy.
- Monetarists: favour a constant, stable growth rate of money supply over discretionary action.